Announced that it outperformed Zacks Consensus’ quarterly earnings estimate of $0.18 per share by achieving a return of $0.20 per share in the fiscal first quarter. Nuance Communications Inc. delivered a 14.3% return, above the S&P 500 index that gained 3.5%. Druckenmiller believes that the 20 years of low inflation prior to 2020 likely influenced Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, as humans have a tendency to think the past will be like the future. Druckenmiller will be surprised if he doesn’t short the dollar at some point in the next six months.

billionaire investor

In 1985, he became a consultant to Dreyfus, splitting his time between Pittsburgh and New York, where he lived two days each week. He moved to Pittsburgh full-time in 1986, when he was named head of the Dreyfus Fund. As part of his agreement with Dreyfus, he also maintained management of Duquesne. In 1988, he was hired by George Soros to replace Victor Niederhoffer at Quantum Fund. He and Soros famously “broke the Bank of England” when they shorted British pound sterling in 1992, reputedly making more than $1 billion in profits, in an event known as Black Wednesday.

Stanley Druckenmiller’s Stock Holdings

Microsoft has grown its adjusted earnings per share at an impressive 17% CAGR since its fiscal 2014 year and should continue to generate double-digit growth and exceptional free cash flow in the years to come. All hedge fund data is based on the exclusive group of 900+ funds tracked by Insider Monkey that filed 13Fs for the Q reporting period. In this article, we’ll check out the top ten stock picks in Stanley Druckenmiller’s portfolio as of September 30 to see which companies the legendary investor has conviction in during these chaotic and unpredictable times.

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  • In a recent interview, Druckenmiller said a “monkey could make money in this market,” due to the Fed’s liquidity-pumping measures.
  • Duquesne Family Office investment and the portfolio have dumped more than 100 million dollars of Netflix stock and along with this got an increase in the cybersecurity investment with 400% in the 4rth quarter.
  • The fund keeps a more concentrated portfolio and added that investors who keep 15% to 20% of their asset base in macro positions will avoid getting stale.
  • Such would mean that stocks returned a total of about 3% annually or 42% in total over those 14 years.

But think of the internet infrastructure like the railroads 150 years ago. Think of the tech stocks like a company selling railway ties and building the guts of the internet. After learning the ropes, Druckenmiller founded his own investment firm in 1981 — Duquesne Capital Management.

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Druckenmiller is again looking for stuff to short in the coming year, including stocks and the U.S. dollar, given his bearish outlook on not only the near-term state of the market, but a much longer view of it as well. At the Delivering Alpha Conference in September, Druckenmiller stated that he “would be stunned” if there isn’t a recession next year. Then, last year, near the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, when the Fed and other major central banks started going “nuts” with their money printing, he realized this was the problem that Bitcoin was designed to deal with. Today, you have something similar and something different. They were 4% or 5% when they probably should have been 6% or 7%.

Stanley Druckenmiller: “I Will Be Stunned If We Don’t Have A … – The Acquirer’s Multiple

Stanley Druckenmiller: “I Will Be Stunned If We Don’t Have A ….

Posted: Mon, 03 Oct 2022 07:00:00 GMT [source]

Investors should consider that the $4.93 billion of total debt and $270 billion of preferred equity could be amortized by cash from operations within about two years. For reference, during the trailing 12 months, Antero generated cash from operations of $2.3 billion and free cash flow of $1.39 billion. Druckenmiller’s 13F filing for the June quarter revealed that his family office doubled down on Antero Resources, increasing its long position by more than 100%. Druckenmiller also added a big bet on newly public company Coupang. The Korean e-commerce company was the largest US IPO in the first quarter of 2021, raising $4.6 billion, according to Renaissance Capital.

About Daquesene Capital:

He established such a strong track record that hedge fund legend George Soros recruited him to work at the Quantum Fund, which he did from 1988 to 2000. If he likes an idea intuitively, and it ticks a bunch of boxes on his macro matrix, he moves quickly to put the position on. Then if the position works out, he adds to it, but if it doesn’t, he gets rid of it. According to Druckenmiller, entering quickly gives investors a chance to get in before others recognize the story they saw.

After leaving this fund, he joined another fund known as Quantum Fund as a lead portfolio manager by George Soros. In this fund, he made a great amount which is reportedly 260 million dollars in the year 2008. The latest Stanley Druckenmiller 13F filing has reported a few changes in the portfolio. Duquesne Family Office investment and the portfolio have dumped more than 100 million dollars of Netflix stock and along with this got an increase in the cybersecurity investment with 400% in the 4rth quarter. These changes made in the portfolio mean a great deal to the company. But in these exhausting times, the profit made by some of the important stockholders has compensated the loss made in the previous times.

concentrated bets

When working with for the quantum fund, they together broke all the records of the profits. They made a profit of 1 billion dollars, which was made in the event of Black Wednesday. After working for a long time in his fund in the Duquesne Capital, he decided to put an end to his fund because he felt he is not able to return the best possible returns to his customers. But when he closed this fund, the capital had more than 12 billion dollars as working assets.

Recently, The Walt Disney was able to clinch the 4th spot on Fortune’s 2021 list of the “World’s Most Admired,” despite losing billions of dollars amid the coronavirus crisis. With a current market capitalization worth $358.5 billion, Walt Disney delivered a 60% return in the past 12 months. I understand that investors might have different assumptions with regard to AR’s required return and terminal business growth. Thus, I also enclose a sensitivity table to test varying assumptions. For reference, red-cells imply an overvaluation as compared to the current market price, and green-cells imply an undervaluation.

He started out in corporate economics for a Fortune 50 company before moving to a long/short equity investment firm. Brandon has a tenacious passion for investing, broad-based learning, and business. He previously worked for several leading investment firms before joining the team at Macro Ops.

Investors should consider that AR is trading at a one-year forward PE of about x5 and EV/EBITDA below x4. It could have been worse, but more than three-quarters of the stocks in the S&P 500 have declined this month. The buy price is calculated from the weighted average of all purchases since the last sell-out of the investor.

In case the buy price of a purchase wasn’t reported, the average price during the reported period is taken. In this article, we discuss the 9 stocks that Stanley Druckenmiller was right about. This shift is a result of the globalization that characterized the past few decades fading amid the war in Ukraine and U.S.-China tensions. Druckenmiller points out that globalization has a deflationary effect because it increases worker productivity and speeds up technological advancement, but now that’s gone.

He also scooped up 258,420 of JPMorgan Chase, and added s in Visa and Mastercard. “The response after the global financial crisis to disinflation was zero rates, and a lot of money printing, quantitative easing. The views and opinions expressed by the author, or any people mentioned in this article, are for informational purposes only, and they do not constitute financial, investment, or other advice. Investing in or trading cryptoassets comes with a risk of financial loss. Now that’s not just in tech stocks, it’s in everything.

And our central case is that inflation occurs, but we’re open-minded to something like ‘07-’08 when you never really got to the inflation because the bubble popped. Particularly with so much of the cap weighted in growth stocks, which would be hit the worst. The billionaire said that Bitcoin has a lot of inherent value and it’s gaining traction and stability with each passing day.


Druckenmiller said the driver of those losses is down to the Federal Reserve and the central bank’s approach in fighting inflation that he says will ultimately lead the US into a recession at some point next year, CNBC reported. Billionaire Stanley Druckenmiller is downbeat on the markets right now and says the current bear market has some way to run. Stanley Druckenmiller forecasted more of a decline in US stock markets and a recession by 2023. But, I think I would die if I couldn’t have some connection with the investment markets during the day. My dream to the question of “would you hand off the family office” would be to find a successor to run the equity part and let me fiddle around in the macro. The problem was Jay Powell and the world’s central bankers going nuts and making fiat money even more questionable than it already has been when I used to own gold.